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Conference commissioners set to decide sites for inaugural four-team playoff
2013-04-22

The conference commissioners in charge of putting together the four-team playoff system that will start after the 2014 regular season will meet starting Tuesday in Pasadena, Calif.
At the top of their agenda: Pick three more bowls to be used in the semifinal rotation and decide on a site for the first national championship game.

It will be another big step, BCS executive director Bill Hancock said recently.

True, though all signs point toward these big steps being foregone conclusions. The Fiesta, Cotton and Chick-fil-A bowls are the overwhelming favorites to be chosen for the playoff rotation, and have been for a while. So much so that only one other bowl the Holiday Bowl in San Diego even put in a bid to be part of the system that will replace the Bowl Championship Series.

I was a little surprised we didnt get more, Big 12 Commissioner Bob Bowlsby said.

Hancock said there was plenty of interest even though it didnt result in bids.

I talked to 10 or 12 bowls about it, he said. I think for various reasons people decided, many of the bowls decided, theyd rather go in a different direction. Some wanted to stick with their conference contracts, others couldnt meet specs for 55,000 seat stadiums.

Were not disappointed with the numbers. We have good options and there are terrific stadiums.

Bowlsby conceded the appearance of three bowls having the inside track to the playoff rotation might have deterred others from bidding.

Even Holiday Bowl organizers acknowledge they are a big underdog.

We know its a tough competition, Holiday Bowl executive director Bruce Binkowski said. But we felt it was incumbent upon us to make a bid.

Its tough to beat out the incumbents.

As for the site of the first national championship game, which will be played Jan. 12, 2015, the front-runner is Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, Texas, home of not only the Dallas Cowboys but the Cotton Bowl.
Its not quite a done deal.Tampa, Fla., also put in a bid that is being considered. But itll be hard to pass up playing the first national title game of the playoff era in the Dallas Cowboys state-of-the-art football palace.
The new postseason system will also get a name this week.
It will be simple, Hancock said. It will not be cutesy. And it will be descriptive. Ive seen too many people make mistakes by trying to be cutesy.
Also on the agenda will be the selection committee that will pick the final four. The commissioners want a panel similar to the one that picks the field for the NCAA basketball tournament, composed of athletic directors and conference commissioners.
That wont be finished this week, but Hancock hopes when the commissioners leave southern California, the selection committee will be the only major part of the new postseason plan still hanging.
I know the commissioners are very interested in moving the needle on it, he said. Im sure it will get a fair amount of discussion.




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2015-04-15

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CFB: Fiesta Bowl - BOISE STATE vs. TCU (8:10 PM ET, FOX)
2010-01-04

Two of this year’s bowl games were rematches of a year ago. For Boise State and TCU, the stakes are much higher this time, as the teams step up from the Poinsettia to Fiesta Bowl. Strangely there’s no Goliath in this battle of two “David’s,” with both teams having crashed the BCS party by going unbeaten. Of course, with pointspreads in play, one team has to play the role of favorite, and that is TCU (-8). That line seems to have done its job, as according to the Sportsbook.com Betting Trends page, action was split down the middle at last check.

The Horned Frogs were dominant on both sides of the ball, and boast the country’s No. 2-ranked defense in yards per play. Boise State did its best work on offense, scoring 44.2 points per game, ranking No. 1 nationally. In terms of bowl success, it’s all TCU, which owns a 5-1 SU and ATS record in its L6. The Broncos are 1-4 SU and 3-2 ATS in their L5.

Many of us would like to have seen these non-automatic qualifying teams compete against BCS conference teams, especially since the two met just one year ago with TCU defeating Boise State in the Poinsettia Bowl, 17-16. Regardless, the Fiesta Bowl still presents an interesting matchup. The Horned Frogs have a dominating defense, allowing just 12.4 points and 233 yards per game. TCU can also put points on the board, winning by 36.6 points per game and going 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS down the stretch. Nobody has been better on the offensive end this season than the Broncos, however, who average a nation-best 44.2 points per game. Sixty-eight percent of the public is backing Boise State as of press time. I’ll call for a dominant TCU victory as defense wins out. TCU 41, Boise State 24.

Top FoxSheets.com ATS Trend
TCU is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. The average score was TCU 37.0, OPPONENT 10.6 - (Rating = 1*)

Top FoxSheets.com Total Super Situation
Play Under - Any team against the total (BOISE ST) - in a game involving two good rushing teams - both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG, in a non-conference game between two teams from second tier division 1-A conferences. (28-6 since 1992.) (82.4%, +21.4 units. Rating = 3*)

FIESTA BOWL Series Trend: Five different conferences boast Fiesta Bowl victories over the last five seasons, not a surprising trend considering underdogs are on a 6-2 ATS run in the series. In past Fiesta Bowl games with pointspreads of 5.5-points or more, the underdog has covered seven of nine. This year’s line shows TCU -6.5. In regards to totals, where the posted number closes is a strong indicator of the result, as in games with posted numbers of 5 or higher, the UNDER is 6-2, in games below 51, the OVER is 7-2.


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